Gainare Tottori 2-1 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -6%
1.57/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.67
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
04.11.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
22.07.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
09.10.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 2-1 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
21.03.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-1 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
14.11.2020 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-0 HT 1-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-1
AWAY Grulla Morioka
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori nicked a narrow win over Grulla Morioka 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gainare Tottori as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 52% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 48%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gainare Tottori and 0.83 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Grulla Morioka?

Gainare Tottori 2-1 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 46%, draw 27%, Grulla Morioka 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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