Akwa United 2-0 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.59
Over 2.5
53%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.78/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.53
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kano Pillars
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
28.04.2024 Akwa United Akwa United 3-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
06.12.2023 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
19.12.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 3-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
13.06.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
30.01.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akwa United
2-0
AWAY Kano Pillars
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United beat Kano Pillars 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Akwa United had 55% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 45%, shots finished 18-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Akwa United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Akwa United and 0.20 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Kano Pillars?

Akwa United 2-0 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 61%, draw 21%, Kano Pillars 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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