Bayelsa United 1-0 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Oct 2024

Bayelsa United
1-0
Plateau United
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bayelsa United vs Plateau United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.0pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Plateau United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 24%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.75/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.06
+32% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United edged past Plateau United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Plateau United?

Bayelsa United 1-0 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 45%, draw 26%, Plateau United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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