Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -24%
1.40/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.92
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lobi Stars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.06.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 3-2 HT 2-1 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
02.02.2022 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1-1
AWAY Lobi Stars
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes and Lobi Stars shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Niger Tornadoes at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 70% of the ball to Lobi Stars's 30%, shots finished 17-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Niger Tornadoes had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 1.50 for Lobi Stars.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Lobi Stars?

Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 54%, draw 26%, Lobi Stars 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Bayelsa United vs Plateau United Analysis →
00:00 Katsina United vs Rivers United Analysis →
00:00 Remo Stars vs Nasarawa United Analysis →
00:00 Akwa United vs Kano Pillars Analysis →
00:00 Shooting Stars vs Enyimba Analysis →