Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.36
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.2 Crosses 8.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
227 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
25.08.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
13.03.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-2 HT 0-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-2
AWAY Angostura FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC edged past Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Angostura FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 60% of the ball to Angostura FC's 40%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Angostura FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.33 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Angostura FC?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 35%, draw 25%, Angostura FC 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angostura FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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