Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Oct 2024

Metropolitanos
1-1
Academia Puerto Cabello
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metropolitanos v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.36/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.03
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.3 Crosses 20.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
205 Passes 256
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.03.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
20.06.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.05.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
28.11.2021 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Academia Puerto Cabello couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Metropolitanos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 56% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 44%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.33 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 43%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metropolitanos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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