Austin 1-0 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Oct 2025

Austin
1-0 HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
📅13/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Austin vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.85
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.72
X/2
17%
5.03
X/X
16%
4.53
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
22%
3.1
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austin v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +20%
1.20/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.34
-3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.3 Crosses 13.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Austin vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.64 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 443
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.03.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
19.09.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
08.08.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin CONLK
20.06.2024 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
08.10.2023 Austin Austin 2-4 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
09.04.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD

Austin 1-0 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
1-0
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.70 xG 0.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
396 Passes 504
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austin vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin edged past Los Angeles FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Austin had 45% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 55%, shots finished 3-5, expected goals 0.70 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Austin and 1.83 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Austin vs Los Angeles FC?

Austin 1-0 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Austin 29%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →