Los Angeles FC 1-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.05
X/1
20%
3.67
X/2
6%
14.4
X/X
11%
6.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.2
2/2
10%
10.8
2/X
6%
18.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
2.14/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.68
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.8 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Austin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 Passes 378
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin CONLK
20.06.2024 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
08.10.2023 Austin Austin 2-4 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
09.04.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
30.10.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
27.08.2022 Austin Austin 4-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
1-1
AWAY Austin
0.83 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
526 Passes 300
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC and Austin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Los Angeles FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 61% of the ball to Austin's 39%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.83 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.17 for Austin.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

Los Angeles FC 1-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 55%, draw 23%, Austin 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
19 Sep 2024
02:30 New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Inter Miami Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs CF Montreal Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
03:15 Orlando City vs Charlotte Analysis →
03:30 Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →