Centro Atletico Fenix 0-6 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Nov 2024

📅13/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.4pp
29%
Draw
19%
+10.1pp
55%
Away Win
71%
-16.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.45/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.97
-46% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-4 HT 0-4 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.11.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
16.07.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
15.04.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 3-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
02.10.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.05.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
0-6
AWAY Nacional de Football
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football swept aside Centro Atletico Fenix 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 40% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 60%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.33 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Nacional de Football?

Centro Atletico Fenix 0-6 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 17%, draw 29%, Nacional de Football 55%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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13 Nov 2024
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