Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Nov 2024

📅13/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.94/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.33
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
11.05.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
27.08.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
22.07.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
12.02.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0-1
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 50% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.00 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 29%, draw 32%, Racing Club Montevideo 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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