Antequera 2-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.9pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antequera EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
0.92/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.02
-34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antequera
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ceuta
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-0 HT 1-0 Antequera Antequera İS3
03.01.2024 Antequera Antequera 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
24.04.2022 Antequera Antequera 3-1 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS4
05.12.2021 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 0-0 Antequera Antequera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antequera
2-2
AWAY Ceuta
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antequera vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera and Ceuta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Antequera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antequera had 54% of the ball to Ceuta's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceuta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Antequera and 1.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Antequera vs Ceuta?

Antequera 2-2 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antequera vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antequera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Antequera 44%, draw 29%, Ceuta 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Antequera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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