Ceuta 2-0 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
17%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 28% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
17%
Away Win
25%
-8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.24/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.01
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Antequera
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2024 Antequera Antequera 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
24.04.2022 Antequera Antequera 3-1 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS4
05.12.2021 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 0-0 Antequera Antequera İS4
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta saw off Antequera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceuta and 1.00 for Antequera.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Antequera?

Ceuta 2-0 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 53%, draw 30%, Antequera 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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