Cornella 0-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
14%
7.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.6pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cornella EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.16/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.58
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +84%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cornella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cornella
0-1
AWAY Ponferradina
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cornella vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina edged past Cornella 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ponferradina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cornella had 43% of the ball to Ponferradina's 57%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Cornella vs Ponferradina?

Cornella 0-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cornella vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cornella win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cornella 36%, draw 33%, Ponferradina 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cornella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cornella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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