Osasuna II 1-2 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.26
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Barcelona II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 2-3 HT 2-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
29.10.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 0-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
29.04.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
06.11.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
1-2
AWAY Barcelona II
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II edged past Osasuna II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Barcelona II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna II had 52% of the ball to Barcelona II's 48%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barcelona II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Osasuna II and 1.75 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Barcelona II?

Osasuna II 1-2 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 39%, draw 27%, Barcelona II 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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