Osasuna II 2-3 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.08
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Barcelona II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 0-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
29.04.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
06.11.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
2-3
AWAY Barcelona II
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II nicked a narrow win over Osasuna II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Barcelona II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Osasuna II had 33% of the ball to Barcelona II's 67%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Osasuna II and 1.33 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Barcelona II?

Osasuna II 2-3 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 35%, draw 30%, Barcelona II 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5
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