Crusaders FC 1-3 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.58
1/2
11%
29.0
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
9%
6.14
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
15%
4.34
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
11%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.31/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.37
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
27.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
05.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLCAS
29.08.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC saw off Crusaders FC 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Glentoran FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.50 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Glentoran FC?

Crusaders FC 1-3 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 31%, draw 30%, Glentoran FC 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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