Atletico Nacional 3-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.56/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.47
+1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-0D-2L
AWAY America de Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
225 Passes 339
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
29.01.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
01.12.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
27.11.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.09.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
27.07.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 1-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional beat America de Cali 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.67 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali?

Atletico Nacional 3-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Cup on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 46%, draw 32%, America de Cali 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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