Club America 2-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.26
X/2
7%
8.25
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
6.74
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.56/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.32
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.9 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Monterrey
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.02.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.10.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 0-3 HT 0-3 Club America Club America MEK
09.04.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
10.07.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 3-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
06.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-1
AWAY Monterrey
1.68 xG 0.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
364 Passes 412
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club America vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America squeezed past Monterrey 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Club America had 47% of the ball to Monterrey's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.68 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Club America and 1.33 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Club America vs Monterrey?

Club America 2-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club America 45%, draw 28%, Monterrey 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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