Club America vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
Club America
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Monterrey
MEK
3-2
HT 1-2
Club America
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Club America
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
Club America 2-1 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Club America edged past Monterrey 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Club America had 55% of the ball to Monterrey's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club America's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club America and 1.17 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Club America vs Monterrey?
Club America 2-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Club America 47%, draw 27%, Monterrey 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.