Club America 1-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 4 Feb 2024

Club America
1-1 HT 1-1
Monterrey
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Club America vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
20%
4.02
X/2
6%
8.65
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
10%
6.83
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club America v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.63/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.26
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.4 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Club America vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monterrey
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 0-3 HT 0-3 Club America Club America MEK
09.04.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
10.07.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 3-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
06.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
07.11.2021 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.10.2021 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America CON

Club America 1-1 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
1-1
AWAY Monterrey
1.21 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
426 Passes 438
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Monterrey couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club America had 50% of the ball to Monterrey's 50%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club America and 1.17 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Club America vs Monterrey?

Club America 1-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Club America 52%, draw 27%, Monterrey 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5
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