Estrela U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-4 HT 0-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 edged past Estrela U23 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 43% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 57%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.67 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Estrela U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 25%, draw 28%, Sporting CP U23 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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