Real Madrid II 3-1 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.86/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.02
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.02.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS2
22.09.2012 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-4 HT 1-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
3-1
AWAY CD Guadalajara
73% Ball Possession 27%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II beat CD Guadalajara 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 73% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 27%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Madrid II and 2.00 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs CD Guadalajara?

Real Madrid II 3-1 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 56%, draw 24%, CD Guadalajara 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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