Ponferradina vs Arenteiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Arenteiro — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Arenteiro Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Ponferradina 1-3 Arenteiro — Actual Match Statistics
Arenteiro saw off Ponferradina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ponferradina had 54% of the ball to Arenteiro's 46%, shots finished 18-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 0.75 for Arenteiro.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Arenteiro?
Ponferradina 1-3 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Arenteiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 49%, draw 28%, Arenteiro 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.