Ourense CF 2-2 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.29
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.61/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.08
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-1 HT 0-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
29.09.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-3 HT 0-3 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
2-2
AWAY Barakaldo
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF and Barakaldo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ourense CF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 48% of the ball to Barakaldo's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barakaldo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ourense CF and 2.00 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Barakaldo?

Ourense CF 2-2 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 44%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
13 Dec 2025
16:00 Real Madrid II vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
16:00 Juventud Torremolinos vs Marbella Analysis →
18:15 Osasuna II vs Lugo Analysis →
18:15 Ponferradina vs Arenteiro Analysis →
18:15 Eldense vs Tarazona Analysis →
20:30 Real Aviles vs Tenerife Analysis →