Barakaldo 1-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.75/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.28
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ourense CF
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-3 HT 0-3 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
1-1
AWAY Ourense CF
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo and Ourense CF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 57% of the ball to Ourense CF's 43%, shots finished 10-3.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Ourense CF?

Barakaldo 1-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 50%, draw 28%, Ourense CF 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barakaldo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
19 Jan 2025
14:00 FC Andorra vs Athletic Bilbao II Analysis →
14:00 Zamora CF vs Osasuna II Analysis →
14:00 Merida AD vs Marbella Analysis →
14:00 Alcoyano vs UD Ibiza Analysis →
14:00 Unionistas vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
17:30 Barcelona II vs Ponferradina Analysis →