Arenteiro 0-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
0.31/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.14
+4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 9.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-2 HT 0-1 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
21.04.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
03.01.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 0-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
0-1
AWAY Ponferradina
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina nicked a narrow win over Arenteiro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Ponferradina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Arenteiro had 65% of the ball to Ponferradina's 35%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arenteiro and 1.00 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?

Arenteiro 0-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 39%, draw 31%, Ponferradina 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arenteiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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