Ponferradina 1-2 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.83
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.19/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.01
-26% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arenteiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
03.01.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 0-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
1-2
AWAY Arenteiro
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro nicked a narrow win over Ponferradina 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ponferradina had 56% of the ball to Arenteiro's 44%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 0.50 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Arenteiro?

Ponferradina 1-2 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 43%, draw 31%, Arenteiro 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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