Amorebieta 2-0 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.56
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.8pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 27%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.82/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/2.91
+23% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / -58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
2-0
AWAY Ourense CF
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta saw off Ourense CF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amorebieta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amorebieta had 53% of the ball to Ourense CF's 47%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?

Amorebieta 2-0 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 44%, draw 31%, Ourense CF 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amorebieta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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