Marbella 1-1 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.01/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.19
-25% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-1
AWAY Fuenlabrada
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella and Fuenlabrada couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Marbella at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Marbella had 58% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 42%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Fuenlabrada?

Marbella 1-1 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marbella 41%, draw 31%, Fuenlabrada 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marbella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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