Alcoyano 2-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.75
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alcorcon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.04.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS2
05.11.2011 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
2-1
AWAY Alcorcon
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano squeezed past Alcorcon 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Alcoyano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcoyano had 54% of the ball to Alcorcon's 46%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alcoyano and 1.00 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Alcorcon?

Alcoyano 2-1 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 35%, draw 32%, Alcorcon 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcoyano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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