Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -4%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.25
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-0
AWAY Barakaldo
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona edged past Barakaldo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Gimnastic Tarragona made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 56% of the ball to Barakaldo's 44%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Barakaldo?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 40%, draw 26%, Barakaldo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
15 Mar 2025
18:00 Osasuna II vs Athletic Bilbao II Analysis →
18:00 Yeclano vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
19:00 Arenteiro vs Ponferradina Analysis →
20:00 Barcelona II vs Tarazona Analysis →
20:00 Real Sociedad II vs Zamora CF Analysis →
20:00 Antequera vs Alcorcon Analysis →