Osasuna II 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
34%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
7%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.3pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-13.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
0.98/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
02.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
27.11.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 3-2 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
15.02.2020 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
28.09.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 5-0 HT 3-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
1-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II and Athletic Bilbao II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna II had 35% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 65%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osasuna II and 1.80 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Osasuna II 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 33%, draw 33%, Athletic Bilbao II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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