Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atalanta v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atalanta 2-1 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta found just enough to beat Cagliari 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in Atalanta's favour, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.49 to 0.76 — on chances created, Atalanta won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Atalanta against 0.83 for Cagliari.
Atalanta vs Cagliari Result & Final Score
Atalanta 2 - 1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 72%, draw 17%, Cagliari 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.