Como (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.36/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.96
-39% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
14.4 Crosses 22.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.11 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
287 Passes 339
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTSKK
11.01.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
05.10.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.02.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
18.11.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
1-3
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.48 xG 2.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
164 Passes 323
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 49
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) saw off Como (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Como (K) had 37% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 63%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 0.48 to 2.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Como (K) and 1.80 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Como (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 23%, draw 32%, Fiorentina (K) 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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