Perth Glory 0-1 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.55
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
9%
6.56
X/2
15%
5.69
X/X
11%
5.47
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
23%
3.25
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.42/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.46
-1% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
19.7 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sydney
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.96 xG 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
312 Passes 459
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
08.01.2025 Sydney Sydney 3-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.04.2024 Sydney Sydney 7-1 HT 3-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
03.04.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
02.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 2-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
16.04.2023 Sydney Sydney 4-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-1
AWAY Sydney
1.49 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
418 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Perth Glory had 54% of the ball to Sydney's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.49 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perth Glory and 3.00 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Sydney?

Perth Glory 0-1 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 32%, draw 23%, Sydney 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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