Sydney 7-1 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.54
2-3 Goals
35%
2.38
4-5 Goals
30%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
3.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
20%
3.98
X/2
5%
15.8
X/X
7%
9.22
2/1
6%
17.45
2/2
11%
9.86
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
17.9
Value flag · 2/X at 17.9 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.04/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.11
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.1 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.33 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 Passes 425
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
02.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 2-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
16.04.2023 Sydney Sydney 4-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
14.01.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 0-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
12.03.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
22.01.2022 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
7-1
AWAY Perth Glory
66% Ball Possession 34%
34 Total Shots 15
22 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
535 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney swept aside Perth Glory 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sydney had 66% of the ball to Perth Glory's 34%, shots finished 34-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sydney and 1.33 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Perth Glory?

Sydney 7-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sydney 58%, draw 21%, Perth Glory 21%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
28 Apr 2024
10:00 Melbourne City vs Western United Analysis →