Anderlecht 2-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.51
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✓
26%
4.63
X/2
7%
8.19
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
8%
6.05
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · X/1 at 4.63 — our 26% vs market 17.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.93/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.41
+45% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.7 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 1.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
478 Passes 344
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
15.12.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
27.07.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
18.02.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
13.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.02.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht nicked a narrow win over St. Truidense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Anderlecht and 0.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs St. Truidense?

Anderlecht 2-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 54%, draw 24%, St. Truidense 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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