Telstar 2-2 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Dec 2025

Telstar
2-2 HT 1-1
NEC Nijmegen
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.43
Over 2.5
66%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.46
No
33%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.09
2-3 Goals
33%
1.97
4-5 Goals
31%
2.68
6+ Goals
18%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.45
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
9%
7.1
X/2
14%
5.39
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
22%
2.88
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
38%
-3.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
62%
+3.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.8pp
33%
BTTS No
36%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.95/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.35
+46% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
23.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.25 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
340 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
03.01.2021 Telstar Telstar 5-2 HT 3-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
07.02.2020 Telstar Telstar 1-7 HT 1-4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
30.08.2019 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-2 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
18.01.2019 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.10.2018 Telstar Telstar 0-3 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2

Telstar 2-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
2-2
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.78 xG 2.80
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
159 Passes 416
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and NEC Nijmegen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was NEC Nijmegen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, Telstar had 32% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 68%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.78 to 2.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Telstar and 3.00 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?

Telstar 2-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Telstar 32%, draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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