PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSV Eindhoven v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-6
HT 0-2
PSV Eindhoven
HOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven squeezed past Heracles 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 66% of the ball to Heracles's 34%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.27 to 2.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.67 for Heracles.
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles?
PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 86%, draw 9%, Heracles 6%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.