PEC Zwolle 1-0 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.52
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.75
X/2
14%
6.1
X/X
8%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.87
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.08
-8% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.0 Crosses 21.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-4 HT 0-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
09.11.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
16.03.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-1 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
05.11.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
06.03.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
11.12.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.60 xG 0.92
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
207 Passes 414
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle squeezed past Fortuna Sittard 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day PEC Zwolle made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 35% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 65%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.60 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.00 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard?

PEC Zwolle 1-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 38%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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