Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-2
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-4 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle swept aside Fortuna Sittard 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 43% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 57%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.39 to 1.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.17 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
Fortuna Sittard 1-4 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 48%, draw 26%, PEC Zwolle 27%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.