RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 Jan 2025

RKC Waalwijk
2-0 HT 1-0
Willem II
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.06
X/2
14%
6.21
X/X
9%
4.54
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.48
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.63/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.9 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

RKC Waalwijk vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Willem II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 355
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.02.2022 Willem II Willem II 3-1 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
28.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOK
21.09.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
23.04.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
17.01.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL

RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2-0
AWAY Willem II
0.49 xG 0.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
285 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk beat Willem II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had RKC Waalwijk as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 46% of the ball to Willem II's 54%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.67 for Willem II.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Willem II?

RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 43%, draw 24%, Willem II 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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