Willem II 3-0 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Sep 2024

Willem II
3-0 HT 2-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.52
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.42
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
11%
8.34
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
7%
6.23
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.60/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.77
-16% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.8 Crosses 18.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
323 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.02.2022 Willem II Willem II 3-1 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
28.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOK
21.09.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
23.04.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
17.01.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
26.10.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

Willem II 3-0 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
3-0
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.62 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
516 Passes 331
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II ran out comfortable winners over RKC Waalwijk 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Willem II had 59% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 41%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.62 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Willem II and 1.17 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?

Willem II 3-0 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Willem II 47%, draw 27%, RKC Waalwijk 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
15 Sep 2024
13:15 Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →
17:45 Heracles vs Almere City Analysis →