Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 30% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.56
X/2
12%
7.23
X/X
14%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
8%
5.21
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.57/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.49
+19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.0 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
22.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.02.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.03.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.08.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.54 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 13
455 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles nicked a narrow win over Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 57% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 43%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.54 to 0.90 — on chances, Sparta Rotterdam could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 46%, draw 27%, Go Ahead Eagles 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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