Heracles 0-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
13%
6.24
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
20%
4.37
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.43/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +140%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
23.6 Crosses 14.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Almere City
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.83 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
290 Passes 252
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Heracles Heracles 2-2 HT 0-2 Almere City Almere City HOL
26.11.2023 Almere City Almere City 0-5 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
31.03.2023 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
28.10.2022 Almere City Almere City 3-2 HT 0-2 Heracles Heracles HOL2
25.07.2018 Heracles Heracles 2-1 HT 2-1 Almere City Almere City HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
0-0
AWAY Almere City
1.46 xG 0.55
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
331 Passes 188
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
39 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and Almere City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heracles had 59% of the ball to Almere City's 41%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Heracles and 1.40 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Almere City?

Heracles 0-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heracles 37%, draw 23%, Almere City 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
15 Sep 2024
13:15 Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →
15:30 Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →