Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.23
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
8%
5.29
X/2
11%
6.08
X/X
15%
5.07
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
15%
3.93
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.44/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.56
+9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 15.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.02.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.03.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.08.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
24.02.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 6-1 HT 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.46 xG 1.31
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
395 Passes 269
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles got the better of Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Go Ahead Eagles found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 59% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 41%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.46 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.67 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 37%, draw 30%, Go Ahead Eagles 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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