Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Ajax
HOL
2-3
HT 1-2
Ajax
HOL
3-1
HT 0-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
1-4
HT 1-1
Ajax
HOL
3-2
HT 2-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
0-5
HT 0-2
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 4-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax ran out comfortable winners over RKC Waalwijk 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ajax had 68% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 32%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.44 to 1.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Ajax and 1.33 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk?
Ajax 4-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ajax 58%, draw 21%, RKC Waalwijk 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.