Vitesse 1-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Jan 2024

Vitesse
1-2 HT 0-1
Feyenoord
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Vitesse vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.06
No
45%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.16
2-3 Goals
36%
2.08
4-5 Goals
31%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
23.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
23.45
1/X
7%
29.5
X/1
5%
31.0
X/2
24%
3.42
X/X
9%
10.6
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.3
2/X
5%
31.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.45 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.0pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.7pp
61%
Away Win
80%
-18.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 84%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
0.79/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.84
+13% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 83%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.8
14.5 Crosses 21.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Vitesse vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
287 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-0 HT 2-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
28.05.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
07.08.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 2-5 HT 1-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
15.01.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
03.10.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
25.04.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Vitesse 1-2 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-2
AWAY Feyenoord
0.39 xG 2.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
200 Passes 400
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord nicked a narrow win over Vitesse 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vitesse had 39% of the ball to Feyenoord's 61%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.39 to 2.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Feyenoord's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 1.67 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Feyenoord?

Vitesse 1-2 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 18%, draw 21%, Feyenoord 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
21 Jan 2024
14:15 Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Analysis →
16:30 Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →
18:45 Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →