Institute FC 0-4 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
7%
9.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 31% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.19/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.14
-8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.10.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 HT 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
11.02.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
09.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.08.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
02.04.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
28.10.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders cruised past Institute FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Institute FC and 2.50 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Institute FC 0-4 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 30%, draw 24%, Harland & Wolff Welders 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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