Uniao De Leiria 2-3 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 Dec 2025

Uniao De Leiria
2-3 HT 2-1
Felgueiras 1932
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 23% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uniao De Leiria v Felgueiras 1932 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.47/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.40
-3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
320 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses 12.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.02 xG 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 124
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-2 HT 0-1 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
11.10.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 1-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
06.05.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-2 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR3
16.04.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-1 HT 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3

Uniao De Leiria 2-3 Felgueiras 1932 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
2-3
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.77 xG 2.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 128
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Felgueiras 1932 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 50% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.77 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Felgueiras 1932's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.50 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932?

Uniao De Leiria 2-3 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 37%, draw 28%, Felgueiras 1932 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ BTTS Yes
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